Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FUL
0 - 1
ARS
24%
23%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
3 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WBA
1 - 2
ARS
20%
22%
57%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ARS
4 - 1
REA
78%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
MUD
3 - 0
ASV
81%
13%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
WHU
2 - 2
MUD
12%
20%
68%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
STO
0 - 2
MUD
11%
20%
68%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
62%
21%
18%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |