Arsenal vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
2 - 1
PNE
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
0 - 0
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
WOL
0 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 2
DER
62%
19%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
GRI
0 - 0
BRE
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
3 - 1
GRI
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 1
DER
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 0
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
2 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |