Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
CRY
2 - 3
ARS
19%
22%
60%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 3
LIV
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 0
WHU
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
5 - 0
STO
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 0
BHA
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 0
CHL
29%
24%
47%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOU
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
1 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |