UCL Last 16
Global 5-2
Arsenal vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
OPA
1 - 5
ARS
16%
22%
62%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 3
ARS
28%
25%
47%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
34%
25%
40%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 5
ESP
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RMA
4 - 2
CEL
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 3
ARS
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 2
MAL
62%
22%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VAD
0 - 2
CEL
39%
28%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |