Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
ARS
5 - 1
BOL
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
WOL
5 - 3
ARS
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
ARS
3 - 2
EVE
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1960 |
BPO
1 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1960 |
ARS
1 - 4
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
BUR
3 - 2
LEI
71%
16%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
TOT
4 - 4
BUR
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1960 |
REI
3 - 2
BUR
70%
16%
14%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1960 |
BOL
3 - 5
BUR
44%
24%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1960 |
BUR
2 - 0
REI
44%
22%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |