Premier League Round 6

Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis

Arsenal Bolton Wanderers
91 ELO 84
0.3% Tilt 31.9%
16º General ELO ranking 1236º
Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
71.4%
Arsenal
18.2%
Draw
10.4%
Bolton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-14%
Bolton Wanderers

ELO progression

Arsenal
Bolton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2011
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
STF
82%
13%
5%
91 63 28 0
17 Sep. 2011
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
4 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
16%
21%
64%
91 84 7 0
13 Sep. 2011
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
29%
25%
46%
91 89 2 0
10 Sep. 2011
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
79%
15%
6%
91 76 15 0
28 Aug. 2011
MUD
Manchester United
8 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
64%
20%
17%
91 95 4 0

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2011
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
59%
23%
17%
84 88 4 0
17 Sep. 2011
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 2
Norwich City
NOR
61%
22%
17%
84 76 8 0
10 Sep. 2011
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
0 - 5
Manchester United
MUD
10%
19%
72%
84 95 11 0
27 Aug. 2011
LIV
Liverpool
3 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
70%
19%
11%
84 91 7 0
24 Aug. 2011
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 1
Macclesfield Town
MAC
84%
12%
5%
84 56 28 0