Arsenal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
ARS
0 - 1
WHU
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
COV
1 - 0
ARS
33%
29%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
ARS
2 - 0
NOT
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
1 - 1
ARS
50%
27%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
44%
28%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
4 - 1
CHA
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
1 - 1
ARS
50%
27%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |