Arsenal vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
MUD
0 - 2
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
30%
25%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
FUL
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 2
ARS
34%
26%
40%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 5
ARS
7%
18%
75%
|
93 | 55 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 6
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |