Arsenal Sub 23 vs Man. City Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
DER
2 - 3
ARS
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 2
MUN
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 1
ARS
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
REA
2 - 5
ARS
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 3
MCI
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Man. City Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
MCI
0 - 0
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
MCI
4 - 2
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
LIV
3 - 2
MCI
43%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
MCI
4 - 1
DER
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 3
MCI
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |