Copa Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Arsenal de Sarandí vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IND
0 - 0
ARS
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
SLO
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
ARS
37%
29%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAU
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COL
2 - 2
UCH
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
FLA
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCH
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 4
UCH
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 2
ULC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |