Arsenal de Sarandí vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 3
SLO
58%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARS
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NOB
4 - 3
RAC
48%
28%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
NOB
0 - 1
VEL
38%
29%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 3
NOB
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOB
3 - 1
TIG
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 1
NOB
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |