Arsenal de Sarandí vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 2
RAF
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
ARS
41%
29%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 2
NOB
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 0
INS
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
INS
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
INS
3 - 0
SMA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 1
INS
34%
30%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |