Arsenal de Sarandí vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
HUR
3 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
LAN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NOB
1 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ARS
0 - 1
GIM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
41%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
BAN
5 - 0
IND
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
IND
3 - 1
CEN
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 0
IND
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 5
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |