Arsenal de Sarandí vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
RAF
1 - 1
ARS
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 4
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
ARS
3 - 2
BOC
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 0
ARS
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
DEF
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
EME
3 - 3
VEL
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
PEÑ
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
VEL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
VEL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |