Arroyo vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CPC
2 - 0
ARR
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
AZU
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 0
ARR
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARR
5 - 0
CDZ
82%
14%
5%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
AMA
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUE
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |