Arroyo vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 0
ARR
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 2
CAD
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SEV
3 - 0
ARR
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 0
SRQ
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAR
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 3
MEL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
SRQ
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
LOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |