Arroyo vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
61.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 1
ARR
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 2
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ECI
2 - 1
ARR
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 3
CDT
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
ROD
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
3 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
GUA
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |