Arroyo vs CP Alburquerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+310%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
ARR
25%
26%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ARR
0 - 2
MON
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CDP
2 - 4
ARR
14%
21%
65%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ARR
1 - 0
CDZ
14%
24%
62%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | +5 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
ARR
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CP Alburquerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CPA
0 - 0
AMA
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COR
0 - 1
CPA
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CPA
1 - 2
MOR
18%
25%
57%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PLA
1 - 1
CPA
80%
15%
5%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CPA
1 - 2
UCL
37%
25%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |