Arras vs Roye-Noyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
TAI
1 - 2
ARR
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ARR
0 - 3
SED
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HAZ
1 - 1
ARR
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ARR
6 - 1
LIL
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARR
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roye-Noyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
ROY
1 - 2
ARM
71%
18%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NOI
2 - 0
ROY
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ROY
2 - 0
USL
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FEI
1 - 0
ROY
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ROY
1 - 0
AAC
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |