Arras vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
ASB
2 - 2
ARR
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
VCH
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DRA
4 - 2
ARR
41%
29%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 1
FBB
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
VCH
0 - 0
ARR
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
SML
0 - 4
FLE
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
POI
0 - 0
SML
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SML
2 - 0
AAC
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 2
SML
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SML
3 - 3
SED
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |