Arras vs Lusitanos de Saint-Maur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DRA
2 - 0
ARR
30%
26%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
BOU
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 0
ARR
22%
25%
54%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEH
1 - 2
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
POI
0 - 1
SML
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SML
1 - 2
DRA
62%
22%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 3
SML
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
VCH
0 - 2
SML
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SML
0 - 0
LEH
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |