Arras vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
POI
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AAC
0 - 2
ARR
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
6 - 2
LIL
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SED
1 - 2
ARR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ARR
4 - 1
STG
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SRE
2 - 2
LUC
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LUC
0 - 1
BAS
13%
25%
62%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
LUC
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LUC
1 - 1
GEM
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
LUC
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |