Arras vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 6
LUS
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 2
REI
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOB
2 - 0
ARR
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
IRI
2 - 0
ARR
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 1
ARR
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 0
BEL
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SPI
3 - 2
LIL
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
LIL
3 - 2
SCH
43%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 3
BOB
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 1
REI
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |