Arras vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 4
SED
17%
23%
61%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
IVR
0 - 0
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
PSG
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 1
GAZ
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
GAZ
1 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 0
GAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
GAZ
3 - 1
ARL
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ASN
1 - 0
GAZ
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |