Arras vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SED
0 - 1
ARR
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ARR
3 - 2
REI
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ARR
0 - 1
REI
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ARR
0 - 1
IVR
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AVI
0 - 3
SEN
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 0
SED
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
REI
4 - 1
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
AVI
2 - 2
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IVR
4 - 0
AVI
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |