CEAC / Araruama vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 1
ADC
41%
24%
34%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NCI
0 - 0
ADC
30%
22%
47%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 0
PAD
22%
21%
58%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
ADC
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
CIG
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DUQ
2 - 1
PAD
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 3
DUQ
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CIG
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 4
DUQ
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DUQ
1 - 1
PER
21%
22%
58%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |