Arouca vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 2
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 0
BEN
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AEA
0 - 5
ARO
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COV
0 - 2
ARO
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
ACV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VIZ
1 - 3
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAF
2 - 0
VIZ
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
VIZ
8%
17%
75%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
VIZ
1 - 1
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIZ
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |