Arouca vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
ARO
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 1
NAV
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
ARO
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 0
FEI
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARO
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 1
MAR
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
UNM
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UNM
4 - 2
VSC
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 0
UNM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 0
SPC
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |