Arouca vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 2
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
3 - 0
ARO
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 0
FEI
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
ARO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
TON
2 - 1
VST
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 0
TON
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TON
2 - 0
NAC
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TON
2 - 1
RIO
23%
28%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
TON
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |