Arouca vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 2
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 4
EST
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAV
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UNM
1 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 1
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 2
MOR
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
SPC
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |