Arouca vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 3
ARO
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 2
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARO
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 0
VST
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
ARO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GFC
0 - 0
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 0
GFC
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GFC
0 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 1
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
GFC
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |