Arouca vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
5 - 1
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TON
4 - 2
ARO
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ARO
3 - 0
UNM
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
ARO
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 1
NAV
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
SVP
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
HAP
0 - 1
EST
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
HAP
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
EST
3 - 3
SCP
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |