Arouca vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VST
2 - 0
ARO
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
OLP
2 - 1
ARO
69%
18%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
OLP
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
TON
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |