Arouca vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 2
ARO
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 1
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
UNM
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
AVE
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |