Arosa vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
LEM
0 - 0
ARO
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ARO
1 - 2
ASP
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
COM
1 - 0
ARO
94%
5%
1%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
ARO
3 - 0
ORD
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
CDO
2 - 1
ARO
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
CEL
3 - 0
ASP
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ORD
5 - 3
CEL
27%
27%
47%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATO
21%
26%
54%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
GRA
2 - 0
CEL
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
CEL
4 - 1
BET
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |