Aroche CF vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
ARO
39%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 4
ROS
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 6
ARO
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
ALO
50%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CDZ
0 - 0
ARO
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NER
2 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REP
3 - 0
NER
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
CRU
28%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BEA
1 - 0
NER
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
NER
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |