Aroche CF vs Moguer CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
ARO
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 2
THA
36%
26%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
POZ
2 - 4
ARO
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 2
BOL
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARO
5 - 1
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MOG
1 - 2
CRU
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
JUA
3 - 3
MOG
43%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 3
SRL
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 3
MOG
26%
25%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOG
3 - 1
MAZ
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |