Aroche CF vs Atl. Cortegana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ROS
3 - 0
ARO
56%
22%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 2
ICR
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ILI
2 - 4
ARO
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 4
ADA
54%
22%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
ARO
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
UDA
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
COR
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
LOS
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 0
COR
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
TRI
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |