Jamaica League Normal Season Round 1

Arnett Gardens vs Dunbeholden analysis

Arnett Gardens Dunbeholden
70 ELO 68
4.1% Tilt 14.8%
1644º General ELO ranking 3348º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49%
Arnett Gardens
25.1%
Draw
25.9%
Dunbeholden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Arnett Gardens
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
Dunbeholden
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arnett Gardens
-6%
-30%
Dunbeholden

Points and table prediction

Arnett Gardens
Their league position
Dunbeholden
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
37
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mount Pleasant
59
59
100%
Cavalier
54
54
100%
Tivoli Gardens
51
51
100%
Portmore United
49
49
100%
Arnett Gardens
49
49
100%
Waterhouse
40
43
0%
Montego Bay United
43
43
0%
Dunbeholden
37
37
100%
Vere Phoenix United
27
27
100%
Humble Lions
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Molynes United
11º
23
23
11º
85%
Harbour View
12º
22
22
12º
85%
Treasure Beach
13º
13
13
13º
100%
Lime Hall Academy
14º
7
7
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arnett Gardens
Dunbeholden
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arnett Gardens
Dunbeholden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arnett Gardens
Arnett Gardens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2023
ARN
Arnett Gardens
1 - 0
Harbour View
HAR
54%
25%
21%
69 68 1 0
05 Jun. 2023
ARN
Arnett Gardens
1 - 3
Mount Pleasant
MPA
47%
26%
28%
71 71 0 -2
30 May. 2023
MPA
Mount Pleasant
2 - 2
Arnett Gardens
ARN
41%
26%
33%
71 71 0 0
07 May. 2023
ARN
Arnett Gardens
4 - 1
Tivoli Gardens
TRI
61%
22%
17%
71 62 9 0
02 May. 2023
ARN
Arnett Gardens
3 - 0
Harbour View
HAR
49%
26%
25%
71 71 0 0

Matches

Dunbeholden
Dunbeholden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2023
MPA
Mount Pleasant
3 - 0
Dunbeholden
DFC
42%
27%
31%
70 69 1 0
16 May. 2023
DFC
Dunbeholden
1 - 1
Mount Pleasant
MPA
50%
25%
26%
70 70 0 0
07 May. 2023
DFC
Dunbeholden
3 - 1
Mount Pleasant
MPA
46%
25%
29%
70 71 1 0
01 May. 2023
CMF
Chapelton Maroons
1 - 7
Dunbeholden
DFC
28%
27%
45%
69 55 14 +1
25 Apr. 2023
DFC
Dunbeholden
3 - 1
Vere Phoenix United
VER
65%
22%
14%
68 57 11 +1