Armthorpe Welfare vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armthorpe Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 4
ARM
66%
19%
15%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
NEW
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HEM
1 - 2
ARM
57%
21%
22%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 4
GLO
11%
19%
71%
|
8 | 57 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BUX
2 - 1
ASH
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
2 - 0
BUX
51%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BUX
2 - 1
RAM
68%
18%
13%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
STA
2 - 4
BUX
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BUX
2 - 3
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |