Arminia Bielefeld vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
HER
0 - 0
ARB
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
ARB
2 - 2
MEP
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
ARB
3 - 0
LOK
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
LUB
0 - 2
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1995 |
HAN
0 - 1
ARB
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
FCN
1 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
CZJ
1 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1996 |
FCN
2 - 2
UNT
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
WOL
1 - 1
FCN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
FCN
3 - 0
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |