Arminia Bielefeld vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
76.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
WOL
2 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 4
BYM
2%
7%
90%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
RTV
1 - 1
ARB
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 0
ARB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 0
KOL
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BVB
2 - 0
ZEN
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BVB
3 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BVB
25%
21%
54%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HOF
0 - 1
BVB
26%
21%
53%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BVB
4 - 0
SCF
69%
18%
14%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |