Arminia Bielefeld vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 0
ARB
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ARB
0 - 0
WOL
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
EIN
0 - 3
ARB
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
ARB
2 - 2
HER
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 1
ARB
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
DBU
2 - 1
LEV
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
LEV
3 - 1
COT
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
LEV
0 - 1
TOT
50%
25%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FCN
3 - 2
LEV
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
LEV
2 - 3
BYM
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |