Arminia Bielefeld vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VFB
0 - 0
ARB
26%
23%
52%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SHE
1 - 0
ARB
36%
23%
42%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ARB
4 - 1
ROT
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
WUP
1 - 3
ARB
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ARB
1 - 0
AAA
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
LEV
0 - 2
ROT
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
WUP
2 - 2
LEV
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
LEV
0 - 3
AAA
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
HAM
1 - 0
LEV
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
LEV
2 - 2
EID
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |