Bundesliga Round 14

Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis

Arminia Bielefeld Köln
76 ELO 81
-14.6% Tilt 8.5%
372º General ELO ranking 97º
32º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
23.1%
Arminia Bielefeld
24.2%
Draw
52.7%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.7%
Win probability
Köln
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arminia Bielefeld
+24%
+5%
Köln

ELO progression

Arminia Bielefeld
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
88%
9%
3%
76 95 19 0
20 Nov. 2021
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 2
Wolfsburg
WOL
17%
24%
59%
76 85 9 0
06 Nov. 2021
STU
Stuttgart
0 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
50%
24%
26%
75 80 5 +1
30 Oct. 2021
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
Mainz 05
M05
25%
25%
50%
75 81 6 0
26 Oct. 2021
M05
Mainz 05
3 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
49%
25%
26%
76 80 4 -1

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2021
KOL
Köln
4 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
24%
23%
53%
80 87 7 0
21 Nov. 2021
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
42%
25%
33%
80 81 1 0
07 Nov. 2021
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
36%
25%
39%
80 82 2 0
30 Oct. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
72%
17%
11%
80 90 10 0
27 Oct. 2021
STU
Stuttgart
0 - 2
Köln
KOL
45%
24%
31%
79 81 2 +1