Arlesey Town vs Leighton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
2 - 6
HAR
46%
21%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
1 - 1
CRA
81%
12%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
0 - 5
BOW
17%
21%
63%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
OXH
4 - 6
ARL
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARL
1 - 2
HOL
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leighton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 4
LEI
7%
13%
81%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 3
LEI
44%
22%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 2
HAT
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 0
DUN
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
7 - 1
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |