Arlesey Town vs Hadley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARL
1 - 0
AYL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RIS
4 - 1
ARL
86%
9%
4%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ARL
2 - 3
LEV
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
3 - 2
LEI
14%
18%
67%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
2 - 6
HAR
46%
21%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HAD
0 - 2
LEV
71%
16%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
HAD
2 - 2
TRI
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HOL
4 - 3
HAD
8%
15%
76%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAD
0 - 5
RIS
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
HAD
1 - 2
ENF
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |