Arlesey Town vs Biggleswade United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ARL
2 - 1
BAL
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ARL
0 - 2
HAT
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STA
3 - 1
ARL
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
COC
4 - 0
ARL
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RBF
5 - 0
ARL
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Biggleswade United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
POT
2 - 2
BIG
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BIG
0 - 3
BAL
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BIG
10%
15%
76%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
BIG
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BIG
1 - 2
LEV
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |