Arles vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NIO
2 - 1
ARL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
ARL
1 - 0
FCG
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
ARL
3 - 2
FCL
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SÈT
0 - 2
ARL
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ARL
3 - 1
PFC
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
LUS
0 - 0
SÈT
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
PFC
1 - 1
LUS
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
LUS
1 - 1
ASB
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
IST
3 - 1
LUS
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
STL
0 - 0
LUS
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |