National 3 . Jor. 16

Arles II vs Aubagne analysis

Arles II Aubagne
37 ELO 30
2.5% Tilt -2.9%
21608º General ELO ranking 3459º
538º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Arles II
20.4%
Draw
21.2%
Aubagne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
Arles II
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
Aubagne
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Arles II
Aubagne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arles II
Arles II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2014
SÈT
Sète
0 - 1
Arles II
ARL
76%
16%
8%
34 60 26 0
25 Jan. 2014
ARL
Arles II
1 - 2
Nîmes II
NIM
61%
20%
19%
35 31 4 -1
12 Jan. 2014
AJA
Ajaccio II
0 - 2
Arles II
ARL
52%
22%
26%
34 34 0 +1
21 Dec. 2013
ARL
Arles II
2 - 2
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
64%
20%
16%
34 30 4 0
14 Dec. 2013
ESP
ES Pennoise
0 - 0
Arles II
ARL
43%
23%
33%
35 33 2 -1

Matches

Aubagne
Aubagne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2014
AUB
Aubagne
2 - 0
Ajaccio II
AJA
47%
23%
30%
30 33 3 0
25 Jan. 2014
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
4 - 0
Aubagne
AUB
52%
22%
25%
31 31 0 -1
11 Jan. 2014
VEN
Vénissieux
3 - 4
Aubagne
AUB
39%
25%
36%
30 29 1 +1
04 Jan. 2014
AUB
Aubagne
3 - 3
Dijon FCO
DIJ
6%
13%
81%
30 68 38 0
21 Dec. 2013
AUB
Aubagne
3 - 5
Olympique Alès
OLY
16%
22%
62%
30 54 24 0
X